ACCA publishes detailed report on MLCC

Dear Readers,

Peace be on you,

It is with pleasure that we share that ACCA, the largest accountancy body in the world recently published a detailed report on our firm Millennium Law & Corporate Company (MLCC) and recognized it as the pioneer ACCA practicing firm in Pak. You can directly access it at: ACCA’s published profile of MLCC

or continue to read below and let us know your valuable views.

Millennium Law and Corporate Company (MLCC) becomes the Pioneer ACCA practicing firm in Pakistan

2ecb140b-470d-4d48-b515-9f5fce7561ab.jpg

Profile of Millennium Law & Corporate Company

  • 30 + Years’ “Young”

Millennium Law & Corporate Company (MLCC) has a background of thirty (30) years plus history of professional excellence stemming from its parent practice. It used to be focused solely on legal practice including corporate matters.

  • Way Forward – One stop solution

MLCC was expanded to include a new division for providing ACCA centered services. This led to the inclusion of the areas of taxation, corporate services, internal audit, advisory, risk management and trainings in addition to the other legal matters within the services offered by MLCC.

  • Partners

The firm is setup with specialized teams dealing with relevant areas under four (4) partners, two of whom are ACCA members while one is an ex legal advisor Federal Land Commission (Government of Pakistan) and another is an ex deputy Attorney General of Pakistan.

  • Pioneer ACCA Practising Firm in Pakistan

In 2015, the Association of Chartered Certified Accountants (ACCA) took a giant leap in Pakistan and initiated practising license program for the country.

  • MLCC became the pioneer practising firm in Pakistan with
  • Omer Zaheer Meer FCCA (the managing partner of MLCC) being awarded the first ever ACCA practising license in Pakistan.

Before that history was made when:

  • Omer Zaheer Meer FCCA became the first ever ACCA member to get admitted to the prestigious Lahore Tax Bar Association (LTBA) during 2009/10.
  • He was later joined by his brother Mr. Ali Zaheer Meer ACCA who is now a partner at MLCC and another ACCA member at LTBA.

Millennium Law & Corporate Company has built a reputation for quality services based on value creation and issue resolutions with time-specified deliverables. It is now the premier ACCA practising firm in the country and one of the leaders in the taxation, advisory and corporate services sectors.

  • Distinguished Collaborations

MLCC through its partners is currently represented at the Taxation Committee of Lahore Chamber of Commerce and Industry, Chairing the Liaison and sitting on the publication committees of LTBA, Chairing the Taxation Committee of ACCA, Global Tax Forum of ACCA and several think-tanks including Hamdard Thinkers’ Forum and Millat Thinkers’ Forum. MLCC’s clientele also includes some of the most distinguished names. Out key clients and/or associations are as below:

Read the rest of this section directly at:  ACCA’s published profile of MLCC

 

Why was MLCC started?

Managing Partner’s Views:

It is my strong and educated belief that the ACCA qualification and a proper training program equips one with the relevant skills, education and expertise to be the best not just technically but on the value addition side of being an entrepreneur.

With an early start to my career resulting is sufficient experience, I felt it was the right time to launch an ACCA practising firm on my return from UK to Pakistan. Also it was an opportunity to contribute back to the profession and ACCA fraternity in several ways.

However ACCA did not have a local practising license back then. Nevertheless we upheld the brand ACCA and pioneered in an area deemed alien for ACCA members at the time, i.e. local taxation. Within a short span of time we stood out of the crowd delivering excellence and quality beyond norms of the market. We then started expanding into other areas such as corporate services, advisory, risk management, e.t.c. with equally good results.

The milestones so far

Since becoming the pioneer ACCA practising firm in Pakistan some of the major milestones achieved by MLCC are outlined below:

  • Establishment of our non-legal services headquarter at the prime location of Bashir Mansion, 2 Turner Road, Lahore which is opposite FBR, close to Appellate Tribunal, behind Lahore High Court, adjacent AG Office and practically in the hub of all the action.
  • Establishment of a branch office in DHA, Lahore for facilitation of our clientele from the posh areas.
  • Award of the practising license and hence becoming the pioneer ACCA practising firm in Pakistan
  • Joining of Mr. Ali Zaheer Meer as the second ACCA partner of the Firm
  • Expansion intro value addition areas beyond taxation including internal audit, advisory, risk management, corporate services, e.t.c.
  • Start of our training division
  • Partnership with ACCA Pakistan for the CPD trainings of ACCA fraternity and beyond
  • Attendance of our CPD programs and training events by high-profile professionals including owners, directors and even non-ACCA partners of other renowned firms
  • Publication and launch of a research study on indirect taxation across the MESA (Middle-East and South-Asia region) in collaboration with ACCA and EY
  • Working with top names in various sectors including the likes of National Bank of Pakistan, Habib Bank Limited, MPDD, ACCA, LCCI, KCCI, LTBA, e.t.c.
  • Pre-launch of our ACCA trainees induction program

Advantages and benefits of ACCA firms

ACCA firms offer several benefits for the ACCA fraternity, the business community and the society at large. Some of the major ones include:

  • Opening up of new horizons and opportunities
  • Jobs creation
  • Quality services
  • Greater acceptance of ACCA locally
  • Entrepreneurial rewards
  • Increased collaborations with worthy partners
  • Greater exposure

With the advent of CPEC and the corresponding developments, there is a lot of potential for quality accountants and firms offering the right services. Yes it will be challenging but the rewards are more than commensurate. So have a dream and turn it into a reality.

Advertisements

Immovable Property Gambit: Impact on Stakeholders

The above titled article was published in the renowned Blue Chip Journal as an Op-Ed in it’s Oct – Dec 2016 edition.

Link to e-edition of the (Blue Chip) publication

Immovable Property Gambit: Impact on Stakeholders

ri-2810-2

By: Omer Zaheer Meer

The recent developments in the Federal Budget and later on in the Finance Act 2016 regarding immovable property shook the realty sector within Pakistan which was taken by surprise. Taxation is not just a mean to fund a Government but also a policy tool to impact the national economy, social behaviors, trends and developing institutions. Unfortunately, in Pakistan the impetus has mostly been on using taxation for filling up the coffers of treasury with seriously negative consequences.

Before proceeding with our topic, this writer will briefly define some of the vital concepts and then move onto the core issue; cover the current taxation regime for the realty sector particularly as governed by the Federal Government before concluding with an analysis of the major impact on key stakeholders including investors, property dealers, general public, traders and the Government.

Key Concepts:

Following are some of the vital concepts which are important to understanding the topic of this write-up:

  • Income Tax – a tax levied on the income of an individual or organization which varies with the level of income and is subject to local laws and regulations.
  • Capital Gains Tax – a tax levied on the gains accumulated on the sale/disposal of capital assets subject to certain conditions
  • Capital Gains – a gain arising on the disposal of a capital asset by a person in a tax year.
  • Depreciable Asset –means any tangible movable property, immovable property (other than unimproved land), or structural improvement to immovable property, owned by a person that —
  • has a normal useful life exceeding one year;
  • is likely to lose value as a result of normal wear and tear, or obsolescence; and
  • is used wholly or partly by the person in deriving income from business chargeable to tax,
  • Filer – a person who has filed his income tax return irrespective of the income and/or tax declared.
  • Non Filer – a person who is not a filer.
  • Capital Assets: – Section 37(5) of Income Tax Ordinance 2001 states:

 “capital asset” means property of any kind held by a person, whether or not connected with a business, but does not include —

  • any stock-in-trade [ ], consumable stores or raw materials held for the purpose of business;]
  • property with respect to which the person is entitled to a depreciation deduction under section 22 or amortisation deduction under section 24; [or]
  • any movable property [excluding capital assets specified in sub-section (5) of section 38] held for personal use by the person or any member of the person’s family dependent on the person[.]

Tax Avoidance Culture:

Unfortunately there is a widespread tax-avoidance culture in Pakistan with people not seeing value or duty in paying due taxes. To put things in perspective, out of a population of 200 million, just over a million taxpayers file returns in Pakistan which comes up to about 0.5% of the population. Even out of this, a large number files Nil tax returns.

Salaried individuals end up paying their due taxes, not by choice but as a result of being bound by the law requiring their employers to deduct the due income tax on their salary in advance.

On the other hand, the rich and powerful segments are either exempt by law (large landowners) or pay miserly taxes as compared to their lifestyles and incomes. This includes influential people from almost all segments of society be it politicians, bureaucrats, journalists, generals, professional or others. This leads to a culture where tax is seen as an unnecessary and avoidable burden instead of a duty and cost of living/doing business.

Reasons for the Prevailing Culture:

There are many reasons for this unfortunate prevailing trend. The key ones are listed below:

  • lack of trust in Government
  • lack of public facilities
  • lack of quality health, education and law and order facilities
  • corruption of Government officials
  • harassment by taxation officials
  • structural issues within the taxation system
  • regressive taxation policies
  • high incidence of taxes on a very low tax base
  • no or minimum tax paying culture by the rich and the powerful
  • culture of law violation
  • perception that it is better and easier to remain outside the documented economy

 

Filer and Non-Filer Differentiation:

To address some of the above issues and in order to entice masses to become part of the documented economy, the FBR and thereby the Government came up with a productive and results-oriented strategy. For the past two years, there’s been a growing policy of differential tax rates for filers and non-filers.

This introduces an incentive for the people to start filing their income tax returns. Moreover, as even a nil return (where no income is reported and/or no tax is due) serves the purpose, this further increases the incentive.

However, due to the issues listed above, a majority of the people believe it to be better to avoid filing returns and becoming part of the system, more so for the fear of harassment by tax officials. So, as outlined many times before, unless structural reforms are carried out within the taxation system, such measures will not achieve the full results they’re aimed at.

The Issue:

Despite the presence of the concept of Fair Market Value in the taxation laws, for too long immovable property has been valued in Pakistan at the rates commonly referred to as the “DC Rates”. These rates are heavily undervalued. For example a property in DHA Lahore maybe selling for PKR 25,000,000 but the DC rates would be around PKR 6,000,000.

As a result of this, the capital gains taxes were either avoided or paid on extremely low values at low rates. This led to the creation of an attractive opportunity for undocumented, untaxed and black money to be “parked” in the realty sector which led to large-scale trading of properties rather than actually building houses and property units despite a serious shortage of over 9 million housing units as per State Bank of Pakistan presenting a huge business opportunity. Although local investors and families did construct housing units but the bulk of the investment went to mere trading to drive up property prices and create non-sustainable profits for the investors.

The size of the black money involved is conservatively estimated at PKR 6 to 7 trillion. Unsurprisingly, due to heavy investments in realty sector, property prices for the past many years sky-rocketed, growing at astronomical but non-sustainable rates, lacking economic fundamentals. This, coupled with the “tax-efficient” black money parking, created a very alluring and largely undocumented investment opportunity as people even started trading “files” without transferring properties in their names to avoid the taxes altogether.

The Initiative:

In view of the issues and strategies discussed above, this year the Federal Government on behest of the FBR decided to move a step further, this time targeting the real estate sector.

Furthermore, with the idea of a massive increase in tax revenues, possibility of bringing part of the seven trillion Rupees wealth within the documented economy and most importantly the pressure for international lenders providing the necessary motivation, the Government decided to take an initiative.

The Finance Act 2016 made an amendment in the Income Tax Ordinance 2001 by introducing the concept of Fair Market Valuation of immovable property by a panel of valuers notified by State Bank of Pakistan, one of the stronger regulators in Pakistan, as taxable value.

Moreover the requisite holding period for Capital Gains Tax exemption was increased from 2 to 5 years and higher rates of Capital Gains Tax were introduced.

Outcry:

This caused severe panic and fear amongst investors, property traders and dealers. Most important for them was the message and the manner in which the new taxation policy was decided without taking them on board. They feared that the intense focus on realty sector would lead to them being asked about their existing wealth and past transactions and consequently they anticipated heavy penalties and tax liabilities on account of the past transactions.

The key issues which made the realty sector anxious were as below:

  • higher taxation
  • hassle and harassment by FBR
  • a valid concern that the valuation by SBP’s valuers would be highly subjective and non-standardized.
  • Section 111 of the Income Tax Ordinance 2001 regarding unexplained income and assets may be invoked regarding past transactions.

This resulted in almost a suspension of property trading and protest preparations across the country.

Capital Flight:

As one would expect, the situation resulted in a capital flight. Besides other destinations, most of the capital flight was destined towards UAE by some of the investors. To put things in perspective, as per Dubai Land Department, Dubai had already seen Pakistanis investing US $ 4.9 billion in last 2.5 years. Now with this increase flight and market panic, the Government feared a melt-down not previously taken into account properly.

Negotiations:

This led to the Government initiating a series of negotiations aiming at reaching a middle ground with the key stakeholders as the consequences seemed to be more than those predicted by the decision makers.

After a series of repeated rounds of negotiations, a compromise was reached between the Government and the key stakeholders, which was implemented by way of an Ordinance.

Settlement:

The compromise reached resulted in the current position which is as below:

  • FBR in consultation with the representatives of various organizations from the realty sector has agreed valuation for major towns. These valuations are above the DC rates but still much below the current market valuations.
  • These FBR valuations will be used as a basis for taxation of immovable property. Where these are not available, the DC rates will continue to be used. FBR will revise these rates from time to time.
  • The holding period for exemption from CGT is reduced from 5 to 3 years with the CGT charged at different rates in three slabs for each of the holding period.
  • A differential treatment has been introduced for immovable property acquired before or on and/or after 1st July 2016.
  • Exemptions from CGT and Advance Income Tax on immovable property, for families of Shahuda and Government officers have been introduced.

Compromise on Fair Market Valuation:

The amendment to introduce State Bank of Pakistan’s approved valuators has been amended in favor of valuations issued by FBR in consultations with key stakeholders and giving FBR the powers to revise these rates in future too.

FBR issued 22 SROs covering valuations for residential and commercial properties in Karachi, Lahore, Islamabad, Gujrat, Jhang, Bahawalpur, Sahiwal, Hyderabad, Jhelum, Rawalpindi, Multan, Sukkur, Quetta, Abbottabad, Peshawar, Sialkot, Mardan, Gujranwala, Sargodha, Gwadar and Faisalabad effective from 31st July 2016.

These have been divided into 3 categories:

  • Residential (including flats)
  • Commercial Area
  • Industrial Area

4 measuring parameters have been used for different areas based on per:

  • Acres
  • Marlas
  • Square Yards
  • Square Feet

Compromise on Holding Period:

The holding period required for exemption from Capital Gains Tax has been reduced from the proposed five (5) years to three (3) years.

Compromise on CGT Rates:

The new table of Capital Gains Tax rates is as below:

Exemptions and Reductions:

For immovable property allotted to the following persons, the CGT would be 0% irrespective of the holding period:

  • A seller, if the seller is dependent of:

(i) a Shaheed belonging to Pakistan Armed Forces; or

(ii) a person who dies while in the service of the Pakistan Armed Forces      or the Federal and Provincial Governments; and

(b) to the first sale of immovable property which has been acquired or allotted as an original allottee, duly certified by the official allotment authority.”

Moreover, Capital Gain Tax have been reduced by 50% in case of first sale of immovable property acquired or allotted to ex-servicemen and serving personnel of Armed Forces, Federal and Provincial Governments, being original allottee of the property and duly certified by the allotment authority.

Calculating CGT:

Gain arising on the disposal of immovable property by a person in a tax year (none after holding for three years), shall be chargeable to tax in that year under the head Capital Gains at the rates specified in Division VIII of Part I of the First Schedule.]

The gain (and thereby the CGT) arising on the disposal of a capital  asset by a person shall be computed in accordance with the following formula, namely:–

(A – B) x T, where

A         is the fair market value as determined under sub-sections (4) or (5) of Section 68 of INCOME TAX ORDINANCE 2001; and

B         is the cost of the asset.

T         is the applicable CGT rate

For the purposes of determining component B (the cost of the asset) of the formula amount shall be included in the cost of a capital asset for any expenditure incurred by a person –

  • that is or may be deducted under another provision of Income Tax Ordinance 2001; or
  • that is referred to in section 21 (Deductions not allowed).

NB: Any selling expenditures and ancillary costs of acquisitions are included in B.

Current Immovable Property Taxation Regime:

Currently both federal and provincial governments have levied their taxes on the realty sector.

The federal taxes (impacted by the changes introduced) are as below:

  • Advance Income Tax (Adjustable) on Buyer (Section 236K of INCOME TAX ORDINANCE 2001)
  • Advance Income Tax (Adjustable) on Seller (Section 236C of INCOME TAX ORDINANCE 2001)
  • CGT (Section 37 & 38 of INCOME TAX ORDINANCE 2001)
  • Fair Market Value (Section 68 of INCOME TAX ORDINANCE 2001)
  • Unexplained Income or Assets (Section 111 of INCOME TAX ORDINANCE 2001)
  • Valuation of Assets (Rule 228 of Income Tax Rules 2002)

The provincial taxes (unaffected by the changes discussed) are as below:

  • CVT (Capital Value Tax)
  • Stamp Duty
  • Property Registration Fee
  • Transfer of Immovable Property Tax (TMA)

Federal vs Provincial Domains:

The matter of levying taxes on realty sector is controversial as post 18th Amendment Capital Gains Tax has effectively fallen in the Provincial domain whereas trading income remains in the Federal domain. However, FBR is of the view that this is well within their domains.

The matter is currently in litigation and decision of the honorable courts will have a serious impact on the future outlook.

Out of Sight Real Issue:

More important than CGT rates or holding period is the classification of income earned from the realty sector. Investors frequently trading properties may find themselves in a tougher spot re taxation as their gains will likely be classified as income from business which is taxed at much higher rates.

Therefore, the classification of the gains from realty should have been taken up as a more important priority than Capital Gains Taxes.

Clearing Misunderstandings:

  • While proceedings cannot be initiated under Section 122 of the Income Tax Ordinance 2001 as per decision of Honorable SCP (2009 PTD 1279), Commissioners Inland Revenue can ask to explain the source of any explained income or asset (investment made in immovable property) on the basis of other information (undisclosed bank account, property, e.t.c.)
  • Hence this section can be applied and is a major concern for those affected.
  • Opportunity to be heard and provide and explanation are given
  • So practically, section 111 of INCOME TAX ORDINANCE 2001 may still be invoked.

Valuations for the Purposes of Section 111 of ITO:

FBR’s valuation tables are to be used for the purposes of Section 111 (Unexplained Income or Assets) of Income Tax Ordinance 2001. Where not notified by FBR, the valuation of Immovable property for the purposes of Section 111 shall be as below:

in the case of open plot, the value determined by the development authority or government agency on the basis of the auction price in respect of similar plots in the area where the plot in question is situated or in case where such value is not determined, the value fixed by the District Officer Revenue or provincial authority authorized in this behalf for the purposes of stamp duty;

in the case of agricultural land, the value equal to the average sale price of the sales recorded in the revenue record of the estate in which the land is situated for the relevant period or time; or

in the case of constructed immovable property, value shall be determined at the fair market value as defined in section 68 or the value fixed by the District Officer (Revenue) whichever is higher.

Income Tax on Builders:

The taxes on builders and developers by FBR are different. A tax is levied on the profits and gains of a person deriving income from the business of construction and sale of residential, commercial or other buildings at the rates  specified  below (Division VIIIA of Part I of the First Schedule):

(A) Karachi, Lahore and Islamabad (B) Hyderabad, Sukkur, Multan, Faisalabad, Rawalpindi, Gujranwala, Sahiwal, Peshawar, Mardan, Abbottabad, Quetta (C) Urban Areas not specified in A and B
For commercial buildings
Rs. 210/ Sq Ft Rs. 210/ Sq Ft Rs. 210/ Sq Ft
For residential buildings
Area in Sq. ft Rate/ Sq. Ft Area in Sq. Ft Rate/ Sq. Ft Area in Sq. Ft Rate/ Sq. Ft
Up to750 Rs. 20 Up to750 Rs. 15 Up to 750 Rs. 10
751 to 1500 Rs. 40 751 to 1500 Rs. 35 751 to 1500 Rs. 25
1501 & more Rs. 70 1501 and more Rs. 55 1501 and more Rs. 35


Income Tax on Developers:

Similarly a fixed tax is levied on the profits and gains of a person deriving income from the business of development and sale of residential, commercial or other plots at the rates below (Division VIIIB of Part I of the First Schedule):

(A) Karachi, Lahore and Islamabad (B) Hyderabad, Sukkur, Multan, Faisalabad, Rawalpindi, Gujranwala, Sahiwal, Peshawar, Mardan, Abbottabad, Quetta (C) Urban Areas not specified in A and B
For commercial Plots
Rs. 210/ Sq Yd Rs. 210/ Sq Yd Rs. 210/ Sq Yd
For residential Plots
Area in Sq. Yd Rate/ Sq. Yd Area in sq. Yd Rate/ Sq. Yd Area in Sq. Yd Rate/ Sq. Yd
Up to 120 Rs. 20 Up to 120 Rs. 15 Up to 120 Rs. 10
121 to 200 Rs. 40 121 to 200 Rs. 35 121 to 200 Rs. 25
201 and more Rs. 70 201 and  more Rs. 55 201 and more Rs. 35


Common themes of Tax on Builders & Developers:

  • It shall be computed by applying the relevant rate of tax to the area of the residential, commercial or other plots for sale.
  • The above tables applies to projects undertaken for development and sale of residential, commercial or other plots initiated and approved after the 1st July, 2016.
  • The aim is to introduce an “incentive” to declare real value of immovable property as the taxes by builders and developers are “fixed” by area, though one can argue as to the attractiveness of this “incentive”.

Major impact on key stakeholders:

As a result of the measures introduced by the Federal Government discussed above, the realty market in Pakistan has become stagnant. There has been capital flight and some correction in prices in a few areas. Let us briefly analyze the impact upon each of the major stakeholder group identified in the beginning:

Investors:

The investors are the one hit hard if not the hardest. They’ve virtually stopped further investments into the realty sector and most are holding onto their existing investments, pursuing a wait and see policy in the hopes of an impending amnesty scheme, expected to ease off the fears and therefore the pressure on the real estate market.

Property Dealers:

The magnitude of the property deals and thereby the business, for property dealers fell significantly. There are still some needs based transactions but not at the levels prior to July 2016.

Moreover, as many property dealers were also acting as investors or partial investors, they’re also negatively impacted in that area too.

General Public:

The impact on general public is more complicated. There are those that were involved in the business of or held immovable properties and are negatively impacted by the current situation.

However, with a shortage of nine million housing units as per SBP and the bulk of realty investment going in trading rather than actual construction, further fuelling the price bubble of property beyond economically justifiable fundamentals, the current pressure on realty sector is viewed with a sense of relief.

The masses hope that if the trend continues, ultimately the trading investors will have to liquidate their investments and move away which can lead to a down-ward correction in the property prices. Furthermore, hopefully atleast part of the investment may end up in the actual construction sector addressing the severe shortage of housing units in the country.

Traders/Businesses:

Ordinary traders are also impacted in more than one ways. Firstly the drop in realty sector’s attractiveness may open up more capital access for other business opportunities.

However, as there is a possibility of a snowball effect in the economy, if not properly managed the negative effects can spillover from the realty sector into other economic areas too.

Last but not the least, many of the traders are themselves invested in the realty sector too which makes them exposed to the same concerns as other investors.

Government:

The Federal Government is hoping to achieve several goals. They believe if there is a proper implementation, their initiatives can lead to the following:

  • down-ward adjustment in immovable property prices making them relatively affordable for masses
  • increased taxation revenue for the Government
  • investment diversion towards more “productive” segments such as construction and other businesses within the country due to the realty sector losing its’ previous attractions and the other sectors becoming more economically viable for investors

Proposal:

In order to achieve the desired purposes of an increase in the tax base and a better documented economy along-with a focus on actual construction of housing units rather than just mere trading of plots, the Federal Government should:

  • bring structural reforms within the taxation regime
  • do away with the overwhelmingly subjective powers of tax officials in favor of objective ones
  • follow volume over margin policy by introducing a single digit tax rate to minimize the cost of tax avoidance
  • introduce tax rebates and a tax-free period for the construction sector
  • address the fears of the stakeholders positively to bring them on board
  • run a campaign to educate masses about the importance of taxation backed by actions to tax the rich and the powerful

Another Amnesty:

There’s been news of another impending amnesty scheme doing rounds in the power corridors. The aim is to address the concern of the property investors re past transactions and unexplained income and assets. The basic structure of such a scheme is proposed to allow whitening of the past wealth by paying a meager single digit tax.

However, it may meet the same fate as the now infamous “Voluntary Tax Compliance Scheme” launched for traders earlier this year if it does not address the key concerns of the realty sector stakeholders. They are currently more in favor of the new law applying to future transactions and blanket amnesty re all past transactions without any cost to them.

How things pan out in the future will depend a lot on this scheme and how things shape up. Only time will tell if the boom in the realty sector is over or the powerful investors and stakeholders in this key sector of economy will be back with a bang!

The author is Managing Partner of Millennium Law & Corporate Company and Director of the think-tank “Millat Thinkers’ Forum”. He is a leading economist, CFA Charterholder, experienced fellow Chartered Certified Accountant and anti-money laundering expert with international exposure and can be reached at ozmeer@mlcc.pk

Economic Impact of Terrorism

The following article has been published in Daily Nation, dated 22nd December 2014

(E-Paper (Print Edition): http://nation.com.pk/E-Paper/lahore/2014-12-22/page-9)

(Online: http://nation.com.pk/business/22-Dec-2014/economic-impact-of-terrorism)

Economic Impact of Terrorism

Prof Dp

By: Omer Zaheer Meer

The menace of terrorism engulfing Pakistan culminated in the worst tragedy in recent history with the barbarian killing of children in the Army Public School Peshawar. While Pakistan was dragged in this quagmire by a dictator searching for the legitimacy of his rule, the complicated regional “grand game” has now reached the stage where the country is tearing itself from within, something the enemies always desired.

Leaving aside all other complicacies and debates, killing children can never be condoned no matter what the reason. Islam’s fundamental war principle baring one unique incident has been the strict instruction to not harm the children, women, elderly and even the non-combatant men of the non-believing enemy let alone the Muslims. The massacre in Peshawar was therefore anything but Islam. It was infact an effort to tarnish the image of Islam and a direct assault not just on Pakistan or Islam but entire humanity. Having said that, let’s focus on the lesser examined aspect of the terrorism faced by Pakistan, the economic impact.

The USA-started war on terror that General (R) Pervaiz Musharraf brought into Pakistan while claiming as his success, the meager assistance from USA had actually negatively hammered Pakistan’s economy to the tune of well over $ 103 Billion as per National Economic Survey and various other reputable studies. The loss in addition to the direct costs resulting from infrastructure damage and cross-border attacks involves loss of investor confidence, loss of productivity, wasted time, reduced exports due to increased security costs, business loss due to law and order situation, lack of developmental funding due to diversion to security-related expenses, e.t.c.

Although most of the above costs couldn’t be fully monetized and the biggest factor, the human cost has not been considered, still the conservative estimate of over $ 100 billion should be an eye-opener. To fully appreciate the significance of this, compare it to the total foreign debt of Pakistan currently standing at around $ 64 billion. This would mean an extra $ 39 billion to spend on development and betterment of the lives of the people of Pakistan even after paying off all the foreign borrowings to date. These borrowings as of now account for most of our national budget on account of debt servicing, even much higher than the total defense budget.

Meanwhile the total US aid to Pakistan during the above mentioned war has been under $ 20 billion. It touches the mark of $ 25.9 billion as per the most lavish US claims which still results in Pakistan ending up $ 77.1 billion in red. What’s ironic is that a lion’s share of this “aid” was actually the reimbursement of expenses directly incurred by Pakistan for the conduct of US-led coalition’s war operations. This means the actual truly no-strings attached aid was even less than $ 10 billion as per the most lenient studies, against a loss of over $ 100 billion. It is therefore no surprise that the US embassy in Pakistan vehemently opposed Pakistan’s decision to reveal the economic cost of terrorism in the economic survey of Pakistan released earlier this year, a fact revealed by reputable officials privy to the discussions.

However, with the Peshawar school massacre this American started war on terror has turned a new chapter. It is now closer to home and has turned into a war for the survival of Pakistan. It is an established fact that no country can thrive economically without peace. Therefore the deteriorating law and order situation in Pakistan has a huge economic cost and is burdening an already shaky economy guided by a policy based on failed measures from the past.

The fact of the matter is that there isn’t a sector left in Pakistan which has not been affected by terrorism, either directly or indirectly. Agriculture which is the backbone of the national economy has taken hits over the years with uncultivated lands captured by non-state actors besides law and order issues making people leave their lands for their lives. This is in addition to the water and energy crisis already pushing this sector to the brink. Manufacturing has also been crippled resulting in lower exports. No foreign business personnel are ready to visit Pakistan and such meetings now normally take place in UAE. But even worse than all this, culminating from the Peshawar school attack, is the wide-spread panic with resulting shockwaves across all segments of the society as well as the economy. If not checked the ramifications of this can be much more than what we’ve already faced.

While the economic impact briefly outlined above is important, the immeasurable cost of the lost lives and the related potential can never be monetized. Therefore, now that the American started war on terror has turned into the foreign-sponsored TTP menace engulfing Pakistan, we’re faced with a problem we’ve to resolve ourselves. The benefits of resolving this amicably will not just be economic but the social positives from such a strategy can be manifold. Though for such a drastic step to succeed we’d need to rid ourselves of the American interferences and subjugation too. It is high time that the overwhelming majority of Pakistanis take control of the national narrative to direct the course of action as the extremes of the society, both right and left, have harmed the country enough. The way of the Prophet PBUH followed by the majority of Pakistanis, one of maintaining balance and level-headedness, is the need of the hour.

The author is Director of the think-tank “Millat Thinkers’ Forum”. He is a leading economist, chartered financial analyst, qualified accountant and anti-money laundering expert with international exposure who can be reached on Twitter and www.myMFB.com @OmerZaheerMeer or omerzaheermeer@hotmail.co.uk